clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

Fantasy football, Week 12: Buffalo Bills passing game targets

How predictable is the Buffalo Bills' passing offense? Well, for starters, there's basically a 50-50 chance that any pass is being thrown to Sammy Watkins or whichever running back is on the field.

Marc Serota/Getty Images

Ten weeks into the 2014 season, here is what we know about the Buffalo Bills' passing offense:

  • 25.1 percent of passes have been thrown in the direction of running backs.
  • 23.7 percent of passes have been thrown in the direction of Sammy Watkins.
  • Of the remaining 51.1 percent of throws that aren't thrown to a running back or Watkins, there's a 39.2 percent chance that it's headed toward one of Robert Woods, Chris Hogan, or Scott Chandler.
  • Buffalo's passing offense might be a tad predictable based on those first two bullets by themselves.

Here are the target and receiving numbers for the Bills' entire passing offense through ten games. Note that the table is sorted by the targets per snaps played figure, and then note the position that the top two guys on the list play. In a way, the list is sorted by the priority placed on getting the football to specific players.

Pos. Player Snaps Tar %Snap %Tar Stats
RB Bryce Brown 69 20 29.0% 5.6% 13 rec, 122 yds
RB Fred Jackson 276 47 17.0% 13.2% 37 rec, 300 yds, 1 TD
WR Chris Hogan 219 31 14.2% 8.7% 25 rec, 307 yds, 2 TD
WR Sammy Watkins 634 84 13.2% 23.7% 45 rec, 649 yds, 5 TD
WR Robert Woods 556 64 11.5% 18.0% 36 rec, 361 yds, 2 TD
WR Marquise Goodwin 66 6 10.5% 1.7% 1 rec, 42 yds
RB C.J. Spiller 157 16 10.2% 4.5% 14 rec, 109 yds, 1 TD
WR Mike Williams 188 19 10.1% 5.4% 8 rec, 142 yds, 1 TD
TE Scott Chandler 462 44 9.5% 12.4% 26 rec, 307 yds, 1 TD
FB Frank Summers 128 8 6.3% 2.3% 5 rec, 9 yds
TE Chris Gragg 179 7 3.9% 2.0% 5 rec, 37 yds, 1 TD
RB Anthony Dixon 159 6 3.8% 1.7% 5 rec, 28 yds
TE Lee Smith 166 3 2.0% 0.8% 2 rec, 5 yds, 1 TD