clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Fantasy football Week 16: Buffalo Bills passing game targets

New, comments

Sammy Watkins has struggled since October, but the Buffalo Bills could really use a big game out of him in the home stretch - and Week 16 seems like a prime week for him to break out of his funk.

Justin Edmonds/Getty Images

Coming into this Sunday's matchup against the Buffalo Bills, the Oakland Raiders have the No. 8 ranked pass defense in the NFL. They surrender just 228.1 yards per game through the air; on the surface, compared to the Bills' vaunted No. 5 pass defense, which gives up 210.1 per game, that seems fairly impressive.

It isn't. The middling Raiders defense ranks No. 25 against the run, and their pass defense is bolstered by the fact that teams are simply beating them on the ground. Where the Bills hold opponents to under 6.0 yards per pass attempt, have allowed 14 touchdowns while intercepting 19 passes, and have allowed passers to sport only a 73.9 rating against them, the Raiders are at figures of 7.1, 25-to-7, and 98.3, respectively.

The 8-6 Bills are a conservative outfit, built to protect the football and win with opportunistic scoring and tough defense and special teams. They'll continue to be that team against Oakland, because it's their best chance of winning any given game. But with Darrelle Revis looming in Week 17, if rookie wideout Sammy Watkins is going to have one last huge game - one in which he realizes his immense promise, has quality quarterback play, and acts as a complement to the renowned defense, as he has done in a handful of big games already this season - this is the week to do it.

Watkins went on a tear in October, earning Rookie of the Month honors, but has largely been contained since. He went four weeks without cracking the 35-yard mark in a single game, and after a 127-yard effort in Denver - most of which came as the Bills went pass-only in a desperate comeback attempt - he caught just one pass for 28 yards in last week's win over Green Bay. Buffalo needs at least one more big game from Watkins if they're going to make the postseason. Ideally, they'll get two.

Pos. Player Snaps Targets %Snap %Tar Stats
WR Sammy Watkins 901 116 12.9% 23.2% 59 rec, 850 yds, 5 TD
WR Robert Woods 787 91 11.6% 18.2% 54 rec, 608 yds, 3 TD
RB Fred Jackson 467 75 16.1% 15.0% 56 rec, 404 yds, 1 TD
TE Scott Chandler 658 63 9.6% 12.6% 42 rec, 440 yds, 2 TD
WR Chris Hogan 376 49 13.0% 9.8% 37 rec, 380 yds, 4 TD
RB Bryce Brown 117 25 21.4% 5.0% 16 rec, 176 yds
RB C.J. Spiller 157 16 10.2% 3.2% 14 rec, 109 yds, 1 TD
TE Chris Gragg 213 10 4.7% 2.0% 7 rec, 48 yds, 1 TD
WR Marquise Goodwin 87 9 10.3% 1.8% 1 rec, 42 yds
RB Anthony Dixon 203 8 3.9% 1.6% 7 rec, 41 yds
TE Lee Smith 289 7 2.4% 1.4% 6 rec, 24 yds, 1 TD
TE MarQueis Gray 79 4 5.1% 0.8% 3 rec, 78 yds
WR Mike Williams 188 19 10.1% 3.8% 8 rec, 142 yds, 1 TD
FB Frank Summers 128 8 6.3% 1.6% 5 rec, 9 yds