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Buffalo Bills fantasy football over/under: quarterback Josh Allen

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Will Buffalo’s first draft pick surpass ESPN’s projections?

Josh Allen, the seventh overall choice in the 2018 NFL Draft, is set to make his first start of the preseason this week. The Buffalo Bills even took the time to announce him as the starter for the game, a first for the team during the 2018 preseason.

The third week of the preseason typically is the one that showcases a team’s first-string more often than any other game, making it all the more intriguing that Allen is starting the all-important “dress rehearsal” game of the exhibition season. If you are a fantasy football player, the third week of the preseason is also when many fantasy drafts are held. Buffalo’s quarterback situation seemed to be radioactive to fantasy players, but with Allen potentially set to start, Bills fans may wish to go all-in on the team’s quarterback of the future.

If you play in an ESPN fantasy league, you may already have seen that Allen’s projected score for the season is pretty poor. The “Worldwide Leader” seems to assume that AJ McCarron will take the majority of the snaps at quarterback, with Allen mixing in at point. They project McCarron to score 158.8 fantasy points this season, and they have Allen projected to score 89.5; they do not say how many games each man will start. They give Nathan Peterman no love, assuming that he will score no points in 2018.

If you were to total McCarron’s score and Allen’s score, you’d have 248.3 points, which would put Buffalo’s quarterback ahead of Sam Darnold, but behind Joe Flacco. That would be QB-30, meaning that not only is Buffalo’s quarterback undraftable in ESPN’s estimation, but they are ultimately unrosterable, as well.

For this exercise, fellow Bills fans, I only have two questions. First, will Allen go over or under the 89.5 points ESPN has projected him to score for the year? Second, will Allen go over or under the projected 248.3 points that ESPN is projecting Bills quarterbacks to combine on for the year? With that second part, you’d obviously have to assume that he wins the starting job right out of the gate (or fairly early on in the season).

Let us know what you think in the comments section.