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AFC Playoff Race: Buffalo Bills will only face two teams that are currently above .500

Matt Warren is Associate Director of NFL coverage for SB Nation and previously covered the Bills for Buffalo Rumblings for more than a decade.

The Buffalo Bills have 11 games remaining in their 2021 regular season. When looking ahead, they only play two teams who are currently over .500 in the standings. (Note: That could dip to one if the New Orleans Saints lose on Monday night.)

The only team on Buffalo’s schedule with a lopsided winning record is the 5-1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The only big-ish test before they face the Bills is next Sunday when they face the division-rival New Orleans Saints. That marquee matchup is a late afternoon nationally televised game.

Buffalo’s next three opponents have a combined three wins; the Miami Dolphins, Jacksonville Jaguars, and New York Jets. The Bills need to take care of business against conference bottom-dwellers to get to 7-2 before they face the Saints (currently 3-2) on Thanksgiving night in New Orleans.

Looking at the four teams ahead of Buffalo in terms of record, they all have a much tougher road to Thanksgiving.

The Los Angeles Chargers also have a rough go at it, playing the Bengals, Chiefs, and Raiders over the final six games of their season.

All that is to say that if Buffalo beats the teams on their schedule they are supposed to beat, they will be in the mix for the top two seeds in the AFC. The Titans and their head-to-head tiebreaker and terrible division schedule make them the team to watch right now.