Regression, or variance from the mean, is often looked to in sports as a way of describing fluctuations in performance. For example, if a quarterback has a career completion percentage rate of 65%, then goes out and has two games where he averages 85%, most would expect his performance to eventually begin falling back in line with his career numbers. In other words, he will regress to the mean.
In 2020 the Buffalo Bills and Josh Allen, in particular, took giant steps forward. But can that level of performance be maintained? Hosts Jamie D’Amico and Big Chris Newton examine what they believe the be the answers to the following questions:
- What is the expected mean performance of both the team and Allen
- What are factors that could cause regression
- Ultimately, will the Bills or Allen regress in 2021
Since organizational stability has been in place following the hire of head coach Sean McDermott, the team has shown steady improvement, but it isn’t unusual for teams and players to take a step backward after highly successful season. Listen to Jamie D & Big Newt to find out what they think the Bills will continue their upward trend.
Also, follow the hosts on Twitter at @TheJamieDamico and @Big_Newt.
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