For this weekend’s Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots game, here are a few prop bets I’ve placed with our friends over at DraftKings Sportsbook:
Josh Allen — Over 1.5 Passing TDs (-120)
For the last two games the Bills’ offense hasn’t looked like themselves in the first three quarters of action. This is potentially the perfect bounce back game for the offense. The Patriots are currently 15th in EPA. This is the first time in ages a Bill Belichick defense has been middle of the pack. But the team is without linebacker Matthew Judon plus other injuries have played a major part in the slow start to the year for this defense. Expect Thanksgiving Game Josh — the performances we’ve seen during the holiday games over the last three years have been nothing short of spectacular.
A.J. Epenesa over .25 sack (+140)
This season we’ve seen the maturation of Epenesa. The game has seemingly slowed down for him, and he’s causing major problems for every offense he goes against. The Patriots will be no different. Their offensive line is beat up and quarterback Mac Jones has had difficulty getting any offense generated this season. I expect Epenesa to have a huge day.
Gabe Davis Anytime TD (+225)
Death, taxes and a Gabe Davis touchdown on Sundays. He has four on the year through six games, and last week was his first week since Week 1 being held without a score. He’s going to be hungry for pay dirt. I’d expect Allen to try and get all his receivers involved after complaints of Diggs being targeted too much (crazy, I know!), and I’d expect Davis to be the biggest beneficiary of that.
Prop bets, short for “proposition bets,” are specific wagers made on various events or occurrences within a football game that do not necessarily relate to the final outcome or score. These bets are commonly offered during major football events like the Super Bowl. Prop bets can span a wide range of categories, from player performance and statistics to specific in-game incidents or even elements unrelated to the actual game play itself.
Here’s a few examples of how prop bets generally work in football games.
Player Performance: Many prop bets revolve around specific players’ performances during the game. Examples include betting on the total number of passing yards a quarterback will have, whether a running back will score a touchdown, or how many tackles a defensive player might make.
Team Performance: These prop bets focus on team-based statistics, such as the total number of points scored by both teams combined, the margin of victory, or how many touchdowns a team will score in a game.
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