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AFC Playoff Picture: Instead of 7th, Bills fall out of Wild Card position after loss to Eagles

The Bills could have been in playoff position, but couldn’t seal the deal.

NFL: OCT 01 Steelers at Texans Photo by Ken Murray/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images
Matt Warren is Associate Director of NFL coverage for SB Nation and previously covered the Bills for Buffalo Rumblings for more than a decade.

With a win, the Buffalo Bills would have moved into seventh place and in playoff position in the competitive AFC. With their loss, Buffalo falls to 10th place and will need a perfect or near-perfect run down the stretch to secure a playoff spot.

The top of the conference currently runs through Baltimore following their Sunday night win. Like Buffalo, the Ravens are on a bye next week. They could lose their spot without even suiting up.

In the AFC East, the Bills are three games behind the Dolphins. It still may be Buffalo’s best path to the playoffs. Miami hasn’t beaten a team with a winning record (except Buffalo), so even if they beat the Commanders , Titans, and Jets to get to 11 wins, they could still lose to the Cowboys, Ravens, and Bills. If Buffalo wins the rest of their games, they would also be 11-6 and make the postseason. Big if, but maybe the best way in a convoluted AFC Wild Card race.

Here are the standings and we’ll update after Sunday night.

AFC Standings (pre-SNF)

1. Baltimore Ravens (9-3)
2. Kansas City Chiefs (8-3, season sweep over MIA+JAX)
3. Miami Dolphins (8-3, 6-2 AFC)
4. Jacksonville Jaguars (8-3, 5-3 AFC,)
5. Pittsburgh Steelers (7-4, 3-1 AFCN)
6. Cleveland Browns (7-4, 3-2 AFCN)
7. Indianapolis Colts* (6-5, win over HOU, 4-3 AFC)
8. Houston Texans* (6-5, loss to IND, 3-3 AFC)
9. Denver Broncos* (6-5, 3-4 AFC)
10. Buffalo Bills (6-6)
11. Cincinnati Bengals (5-6)
12. Las Vegas Raiders (5-7)
13. Los Angeles Chargers (4-7, 2-4 AFC)
14. Tennessee Titans (4-7, 2-5 AFC)
15. New York Jets (4-7, 2-6 AFC)
16. New England Patriots (2-9)

* In the three-way tie for the 7th spot, the Colts and Texans go to a division tiebreaker first. Indianapolis has a head-to-head win over Houston. Then the Colts and Broncos start over, going to record in AFC games. The Broncos and Texans then start over, when Houston tops Denver in record in AFC games.