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‘Thursday Night Football’ Pick and Open Thread: Chargers at Raiders

JSpenceTheKing gives you his best-bet SGP with DraftKings Sportsbook for tonight’s matchup!

NFL: Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Chargers are set to take on the Las Vegas Raiders on Thursday Night Football in Las Vegas at 8:15 pm ET on Amazon Prime TV. This game is shaping up to be an interesting matchup between two AFC West teams who have disappointed their fans most of the season. Both teams are coming into this game with identical 5-8 records and will try to salvage what’s left of their seasons. Winning, of course, helps.

The odds on DraftKings Sportsbook opened with the Raiders as the favorites with a -3 spread. The over/under was set at 34, and the Moneyline opened as +120 for the Chargers and -142 for the Raiders. For those who may be new to sports betting, let’s break down what these odds mean. The -3 spread means that the Raiders are favored to win by three points. If you were to place a bet on the Raiders, they would need to win by more than three points for your bet to be successful. The over/under of 34 means that the total combined score of the game is expected to be 34 points. Bettors can place a wager on whether they believe the total score will be over or under 34 points. The Moneyline odds of +120 for the Chargers and -142 for the Raiders indicate the potential payout for a bet. A +120 Moneyline means that a $100 bet on the Chargers would result in a $120 profit if they win, while a -142 Moneyline means that a $142 bet on the Raiders would result in a $100 profit if they win.

Additionally, the three-point home field advantage in sports betting is a factor that oddsmakers take into consideration when setting the spread for a game. The general belief is that the home team is given a three-point cushion simply for playing on their home field. This is why the Raiders, as the home team, are favored by three points in this matchup. This game is essentially evenly matched.

The Raiders were hopeful for a strong season after signing quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo to a three-year, $72.75 million contract, but his performance led to his benching in favor of rookie QB Aidan O’Connell. The decision to keep O’Connell as starter has raised eyebrows among fans and the media after the team’s recent 3-0 loss to the Minnesota Vikings. Running back Josh Jacobs, who is the NFL’s defending rushing yards leader from last season, also struggled in the game with just 35 yards on 13 carries.

On the other hand, the Chargers are coming off a 24-7 loss to the Denver Broncos, during which star quarterback Justin Herbert suffered a fractured index finger on his throwing hand. His prognosis is still uncertain, and his potential absence for the remaining games of the season could be a significant blow to the team. Backup quarterback Easton Stick stepped in to fill the void left by Herbert’s injury, but the Chargers were unable to overcome the void and fell to the surging Broncos.

Tonight’s game between the Chargers and the Raiders will likely be a test of their respective offenses. Both teams have struggled to generate consistent offensive production, and the outcome of the game may depend on their ability to control the ball and win the time-of-possession battle.

The key for the Chargers will be to involve running back Austin Ekeler early and often, as he is one of the best players at his position in the league. Getting Ekeler going will not only help the Chargers control the game but also open up the play-action pass for Stick. On the other side, the Raiders will likely rely on Zamir White and quick passes to carry their offense and hopefully find a way to get O’Connell going.

Tonight’s game should be fun and somewhat entertaining affair between two struggling AFC West teams. While the Chargers may have the better overall roster, the Raiders have shown the ability to play at a high level when Josh Jacobs performs well, but unfortunately he will be out due to a quad injury. Zamir White will be the starter and get the opportunity to show what he can do. It will likely come down to the ability of each team to limit the impact of the opposing team’s running game.

Ultimately, I believe the Raiders will prevail, winning 17-13 — which means I’m taking the under in this game. Both teams want to bounce back from their recent disappointments, and this game may come down to which team can more effectively execute its run game plan.

Now for the fun stuff. Let’s talk player prop bets!! In a game that is without a star quarterback for one team, a star running back for the other, you have to find other things to make the game even more exciting, I’ve got my eye on three player prop bets from DraftKings Sportsbook that I think are worth considering for tonight’s game. As we all know, player prop bets can add a whole new level of excitement and engagement to the game, and with the right picks, they can also be quite lucrative. So, without further ado, let’s dive into my top three player prop bets for tonight’s TNF game!

So let’s check out my suggestion for a couple player prop bets the I like for tonight's game:

Austin Ekeler over 60 rushing yards (+155)

This one is simple. No Justin Herbert means the passing game won’t be nearly as effective as we’re used to when watching the Chargers play. And because of that, every running back on the roster who’s active will get touches tonight. Even though there has been talk about reducing Ekeler’s role, it’s clear that he’s still the big dog in the yard... for good reason. He’s a dual threat running back who can take over a game at any point. I expect the Chargers to feed Austin early and try to win the time-of-possession battle. The Raiders are hoping to do the same with Zamir White. May the best running game win.

Hunter Renfrow Over 28.5 Receiving Yards (+110)

“Third and Renfrow” sounds almost as good as “3rd and Cole” — and that’s exactly who Hunter Renfrow reminds me of. He’s not as good as Beasley was, but he’s a consistent target out of the slot who’s dominated third downs when given the right opportunities. The Raiders want to run and if they’re unable to stay ahead of the chains, then they may need wide receivers Davante Adams and Renfrow to bail them out on third downs. Over the last five games, Renfrow has gone over 28.5 yards four times. After tonight, you can make that five out of the last six games.

Zamir White Anytime TD Scorer (+135)

With Josh Jacobs out, Zamir White steps into the spotlight and he will get the opportunity to show what he can do. He’s a completely different back than Jacobs, he’s not as shifty and he doesn’t really try to make guys miss as much. He runs north and south, in the redzone that spells touchdowns. Look for White to find pay dirt tonight.

If you were to get crazy and stack these bets into a parlay, you’d increase your odds to +1100.

A parlay, also known as an accumulator or combo bet, is a type of sports bet where multiple wagers are combined into a single bet. In a parlay, the bettor selects two or more outcomes and places a single bet on all of them. The outcome of each individual wager must be successful for the parlay bet to win.

This Parlay is +1100. When a parlay is indicated as +1100, it means that the potential payout for a winning bet is $1100 for every $100 wagered. The plus sign indicates that it is the underdog or less likely outcome in the bet, while the number indicates the profit that would be made on a $100 bet. Therefore, if you were to place a $100 bet on a parlay with +1100 odds and it wins, you would receive a total payout of $1200 ($1100 profit + $100 initial bet).

Betting can be an exciting and entertaining activity, but it is crucial to approach it with responsibility and caution. It is important to set limits for yourself before engaging in any form of gambling. Only bet an amount of money that you can comfortably afford to lose without impacting your well-being or financial stability. Bet responsibly and prioritize your overall well-being.

Take your wagers to the next level — join the in-game fun with DraftKings Sportsbook, where your best bets are always up to date!