NFL Musings and Observations (Matterhorn)

Mountain climbing is hard, it is incredibly hard. Every single dead body on the summit of Everest was a once highly motivated person trying to do their best. But as humans we strive to win, to do our best or at least within the realm of possibility. The issue we have with a lot of things is control. It is having the perspective to not put ourselves into the danger or at least minimize the danger.

In 1865 the golden age of Alpinism was coming to an end, and is marked by the Matterhorn being summit. This was the last peak left in the Alps. It was between the English and the Italians who would reach the top, it became a matter of National Pride! I would like to pay close attention to the end goal was the only thing that mattered specifically to the head of the English climbing party, Edward Whymper. Climbing the mountain became an obsession.

The night before the attempt to be the first on top of the mountain his climbing party met another one from the English and combined, the added also Douglas Hadow, a NOVICE mountaineer with limited at best experience. This is incredibly important later on. They also added some newer equipment, including a new type of rope from the main land of England.

When they made their attempt it was not as difficult in the beginning. They climbed to approximately 14,000 feet and then "roped" up with the newer, stronger rope. Simply put everyone is connected to the rope and if someone falls everyone drops and holds hoping to stop the fall (More on that later) and the novice Hadow needs constant monitoring. About 200 yards from the top, Whymper detached (More on that later) from the others who are "roped" up and runs with another climbing party member to the top of the mountain.

After spending 30 minutes on the top they roped up again, but oddly enough they didn't use the newer and stronger rope, but the older rope. On the way down Hadow was constantly monitored to the point where another climbing party member was placing his feet every single step he took, left and then right, for his steps and then it happened!

Hadow the novice who shouldn't have been on the hard and expert level mountain in the first place slipped, his slip started a chain reaction which led to tragedy as the men who were roped up (Modern mountaineering does not recommend roping up the whole climbing party) so he fell, another fell and another, the rest of the party drops and the guide wraps the older rope around a rock to brace for the falls. As he does it, the older rope tightens and snaps and those who were falling continued for 4,000 feet until they landed below, their bodies were not recognizable.

But why did this happen? To me it was lack of perspective from the start to finish. Combining climbing parties the day prior and having Hadow in the attempt was idiotic, Whymper later in life said he may of CUT the new rope because he was worried the Italians were going to beat them to the top of the mountain, roping everyone up was just not a smart move. In the end, the tragedy probably could have been avoided but was not due to human lack of perspective and frankly greed.

How does this relate to the NFL? Because some teams forget the obvious, perspective and educated gambles lead to success and long term success. This is the approach which should be avoided in the off-season. Looking at two teams can really show just bad off-seasons without having any perspective. Lets dive into those two teams.

Please replace the Los Angeles Raiders line with New York Jets fans. The Jets have given everything to Aaron Rodger's to the point NFL Musings and Observations will now refer to the Jets as the New Jersey Rodgers. But when you go all in on someone who has held another franchise hostage in the Packers, hired his beer buddy who failed in Denver In Hackett (Remember, you can't spell Hackett without Hack) and brought in his buddies at WR who were already on the down slide of their career. Add in that Rodgers has lost his mobility and the weakest part of the team was the OL and it was going to be a disaster.

The Denver Broncos two years ago had the terrible off-season as they tried to lure Aaron Rodgers from Green Bay, the reason why they hired Hackett but they missed out. What happened? They had the WORSE trade of the last 10 years and a top ten WORSE trade in NFL history when they brought in Russell Wilson. No, hindsight is 20/20 and it wasn't as obvious as the Rodgers trade being a failure. But it had signs. Hackett oversaw a bad Bills offense, he oversaw a bad Jags offense, he was more so beer buddy than Offensive master mind with Rodgers and Matt Leflour leading the offense and Hackett more so, well he was pretty much Milhouse in the Simpsons.

Hackett became Milhouse and the NFL Head Coaching world and all that pressure became Nelson. It, was awesome! The world hasn't seen a crash and burn since the Hindenburg.

Oh the humanity but when you looked upon it, how Wilson had sllowed a little and NO ONE defended him from inside the locker room the oblivious signs were there.

Random Bills Thoughts:

1. The Bills like all teams need that perspective for a successful NFL off-season. Money is tight and they have an older roster so the Bills I believe saw this and that is why they traded back so much in the 2023 draft. They now have the ability to move around and trade up and back to draft specific players for specific needs knowing they will not have the ability to spend big on free agents.

2. What to do with Tre White? He has suffered an ACL and an Achilles. Can he still be a CB in this league? I'm not so sure, but can he make the move to Safety? This is the question because his football IQ is good enough to play at every single defensive back position. The Bills will need to fully think of his role coming up for 2024.

3. On Defense I believe safety is a big concern, I love Hyde or Poyer but it is becoming obvious they have lost a step. Bills need to add speed and explosiveness on the back end of the defense. My draft crush is Kamren Kichens, Safety out of Miami because he has tremendous range. This range I believe will be invaluable to what McD wants to do on the back half of the offense to try and confuse the opposing offense.

4. On Offense I believe a wide receiver is a big concern. Diggs will still be on the team due to money, and frankly the Diggs narrative is becoming just obnoxious at this point from the legacy media. At this point one of the big issues is the Bills are struggling with a #2 WR. I love Gabe Davis but I don't see him as a number 2, and I don't think the Bills will resign him. Shakir feels like a low #2 and a top level #3. My offensive draft crush is Xavier Worthy from Texas. He is a complete speed demon. Josh Allen would struggle to over throw him, yes he has a slight build but he can add muscle. What I like even more is he probably is not a first round draft pick so the Bills can grab a player in the first and then use those extra picks to trade up and then go after Worthy. I would love both Kichens and Worthy and then the Bills have added much needed speed.

Random NFL Thoughts:

1. Some people are outraged that Lamar Jackson was not the unanimious MVP winner. One, one voter decided to give a vote to Josh Allen. You know, the Josh Allen who had more TDs, passing yards, rushing yards, and had better stats than Lamar for the most part except he had more turnovers. I'm not suggesting Josh Allen was more deserving of winning the award than Lamar but to have Stephen A. Smith says it was a mockery to have one person out of 50 vote for someone else perfectly explains why legacy media is dying a slow death.

This year was actually one of the most divided MVP races in recent memory to the point I'm curious what the argument could be to say no one should possibly think of anyone other than Lamar, the only answer I can come up with is legacy media fully understand they're losing to YouTube and Podcasters. They went the way of Skip Bayless with shock hot takes and fans are leaving for fact based or at least analytical based discussion than what ESPN can offer.

2. What if Caleb Williams is not a sure fire, next John Elway/Andrew Luck kind of prospect? I know it's shocking to ask but there is ONE analyst I have always liked. He is not the hot taker, he is Merril Hoge and I will listen to his remarks.

Go to 4:30 for his reaction but I want to ask some questions about Caleb Williams.

Physically is he one of a kind? No, he is not, he is not physically talented as a Josh Allen and/or a Justin Herbert

Did he have the best offensive mind in college? Yes, he was coached by Lincoln Riley who is the best offensive mind in college football

Did he show some maturity issues? Yes, in his last year he should maturity issues and frankly some entitlement issues.

So let me ask, should the Bears stay with Justin Fields? I wouldn't say they need to keep him or move on from him. But I'm interested in what teams think of Williams deep down. There is a lot of pressure to say the right things but if Hoge says he doesn't think Williams is special then I have to believe many teams think the same thing. I am not a film guy but I watch and read. What I want to see from a QB is be able to fully operate an offense within rhythm and then sprinkle in some Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes kind of running around etc. Caleb Williams I believe is far better in the running around and impromptu category where I would like to have a QB in college better in the running the offense as designed side.

Just showing how Hoge has been able to speak his mind and go against the beliefs of the NFL Draft community.

3. Buyer beware of free agency. The unknown, especially the first big contract is always a risky venture. What does the player do when they get the first huge check? This is the issue, is the player past their prime? All of these are considerations to include what occurs when they're no longer in the structure of the locker room where they gained the right to have a big, fat contract. So where do I like to see big money spent?

Age: 25-28 is the sweet spot, they're no longer young adults, they're adults, starting families etc and for me they have truly become a professional.

Minimal Injury history is needed, I'm not saying sprains etc. I mean several surgeries, back injuries etc need to be looked at heavily.

Do they come from a system and/or a locker room culture that you have as a franchise. If they had success with the Dolphins and their fast paced offense which has two speedsters on the outside, thus a lower offensive player is going up against the 4th or 5th defender probably is having stats boosted from surrounding talent.

I'm not saying free agency is bad for a franchise to dip into, but I would argue it needs to have some perspective. A perfect example is Tee Higgins with the Bengals. I like Tee Higgins, but he is the number 2 or possibly sometimes #3 option for the team with Chase and sometimes Boyd being the first options. Does a team like Tee Higgins enough to make him their #1 WR and give him a minimum of 16 million a year? I personally think Higgins will see Terry McLaurin and say, I want at least his money and that is 23 million a year. Buyer Beware, I'd stay away from big money Free Agents this year.

4. I believe the bills do not make a splash for Free Agency, but if they do, Hollywood Brown could be the target. Brown was let go from Baltimore, he is let go from the Cardinals who are strapped for talent, so let me ask? How much does anyone think he is worth? I think this deal would be team friendly as he needs to bring his reputation back. Watch the Bills with Hollywood Brown.

GO BILLS! Have a wonderful weekend!!!!

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